Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
22.54% ( 0.63) | 22.63% ( 0.17) | 54.83% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.03% ( -0.04) | 42.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.63% ( -0.04) | 65.36% ( 0.04) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.11% ( 0.55) | 32.89% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.53% ( 0.61) | 69.46% ( -0.61) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( -0.28) | 15.58% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.46% ( -0.53) | 44.54% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |