Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
61.39% ( 0.25) | 19.73% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.51% ( -0.49) | 34.49% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.58% ( -0.55) | 56.42% ( 0.55) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.1% ( -0.08) | 10.89% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.96% ( -0.18) | 35.04% ( 0.18) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% ( -0.55) | 31.47% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% ( -0.65) | 67.85% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |