Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
76.39% ( -0.03) | 13.93% ( -0.09) | 9.67% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( 1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.69% ( 0.94) | 27.3% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.13% ( 1.18) | 47.87% ( -1.18) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.11% ( 0.19) | 5.88% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.45% ( 0.55) | 22.54% ( -0.55) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( 0.96) | 39.01% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% ( 0.89) | 75.73% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) Other @ 5.06% Total : 76.39% | 1-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.93% | 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 9.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |