Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
30.97% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.13) | 43.63% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.24% ( -0.55) | 48.75% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% ( -0.5) | 70.86% ( 0.5) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% ( -0.26) | 29.4% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% ( -0.32) | 65.39% ( 0.33) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.3) | 22.3% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( -0.45) | 55.76% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |