Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
50.16% ( -0.12) | 23.9% ( 0) | 25.93% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.69% ( 0.08) | 45.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( 0.08) | 67.65% ( -0.08) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( -0.02) | 18.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.92% ( -0.03) | 49.08% ( 0.03) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( 0.13) | 31.3% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( 0.16) | 67.66% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |