Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.