Arbroath

2 - 1

Alloa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.