Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19

Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
2 - 4
QotS

Hamilton (11'), McKenna (22' pen.)
Linn (19'), Hamilton (32'), Little (80')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Obileye (33', 50'), Shields (38'), Mebude (45+1')
Gibson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Queen of the South were 2-0 down after 22 minutes but came back to win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Queen of the South
49.56%	24.99%	25.45%

Both teams to score 52.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7%

50.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75%

72.24%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69%

20.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31%

52.68%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63%

34.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.92%

71.08%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 49.55%

Queen of the South 25.45%

Draw 24.98%

Arbroath	Draw	Queen of the South
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.55%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.45%