Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.