Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.