MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:30:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Greenock Morton

Ayr
1 - 0
Morton

Henderson (66' pen.)
McAllister (69'), Syla (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilson (34'), Broadfoot (52'), Mullen (66')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
50.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.4% (0.248 0.25) 25.06% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-1.103 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-1.316 -1.32)48.15% (1.314 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-1.219 -1.22)70.31% (1.218 1.22)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.489 -0.49)19.07% (0.488 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (-0.817 -0.82)50.67% (0.815 0.81)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.956 -0.96)33.54% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (-1.06 -1.06)70.18% (1.058 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 50.53%
    Greenock Morton 25.07%
    Draw 24.39%
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.53%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ayr
1-1
Morton
Dowds (45')
Dempsey (27'), Dowds (45+2')
Broadfoot (21')
Oakley (23'), Baird (76'), Power (81')
Jan 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Morton
3-0
Ayr
Muirhead (35', 57', 59')
Gillespie (30'), Strapp (49')

Syla (90'), Amartey (90+1')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Ayr
0-1
Morton

McKenzie (62'), Ahui (74')
Oakley (87')
Power (57'), Muirhead (60'), Wilson (61'), French (81')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Morton
3-1
Ayr
Crawford (62'), Muirhead (75' pen.), Boyd (87')
Broadfoot (40'), Quitongo (40'), Gillespie (70')
Pendlebury (51')
Musonda (11'), Reading (39'), Murdoch (40'), McAllister (44'), Ahui (49')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Ayr
1-1
Morton
Musonda (62')
Waters (47')
rhs 2.0
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