Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.