Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
44.25% ( -0.32) | 24.06% ( -0.03) | 31.69% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 59.81% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% ( 0.29) | 42.43% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% ( 0.29) | 64.83% ( -0.29) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( -0.02) | 19.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% ( -0.03) | 51.19% ( 0.02) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( 0.36) | 25.81% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% ( 0.48) | 60.77% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |