Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.