Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.