Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
63.95% | 19.97% | 16.08% |
Both teams to score 54.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.08% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.94% | 12.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.43% | 37.56% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% | 38.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% | 75.13% |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.71% Total : 63.95% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.75% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.97% | 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.52% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |