Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
36.22% ( -0.94) | 27.15% ( 0.25) | 36.62% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -1.03) | 54.98% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -0.85) | 76.26% ( 0.85) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% ( -1.06) | 29.11% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% ( -1.32) | 65.03% ( 1.32) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( -0.09) | 28.87% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( -0.11) | 64.73% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.22% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |