Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.