Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.