Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.