Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.