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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Livingston logo

Aberdeen
5 - 1
Livingston

Hoilett (58', 81'), Shinnie (74'), Polvara (77'), Boyd (90+3')
Barron (34'), Devlin (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yengi (52' pen.)
Nottingham (57'), Shinnie (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-0 Livingston

Having got back to winning ways at the weekend, Livingston will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Pittodrie. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore that the Dons are the better team and have home advantage in their favour, leading us to predict a solid victory with a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawLivingston
70.36% (-0.166 -0.17) 17.49% (0.14 0.14) 12.16% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.605 -0.6)37.99% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.649 -0.65)60.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)9.65% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.78% (-0.465 -0.47)32.22% (0.465 0.47)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.76% (-0.357 -0.36)42.24% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (-0.308 -0.31)78.64% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 70.36%
    Livingston 12.16%
    Draw 17.49%
AberdeenDrawLivingston
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 8.68% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.36%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.49%
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.16%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Livingston

Aberdeen
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Livingston
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Livingston
0-0
Aberdeen
Yengi (44'), Devlin (51')
Dec 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Aberdeen
2-1
Livingston
Miovski (42', 65')
Guthrie (28')
Devlin (45'), Penrice (65'), Pittman (84')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Livingston
0-0
Aberdeen
Sangare (31'), Montano (50'), Devlin (81')
Rubezic (27'), Robson (28'), Clarkson (31'), Devlin (67'), Hayes (83')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Livingston
2-1
Aberdeen
Fitzwater (6'), Kelly (17' pen.)
Lopes (58' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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