Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
61.81% ( 0.82) | 20.86% ( -0.13) | 17.33% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.54% ( -0.58) | 42.46% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.14% ( -0.58) | 64.86% ( 0.58) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( 0.06) | 13.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.05% ( 0.12) | 39.94% ( -0.12) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% ( -1.14) | 37.93% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% ( -1.12) | 74.7% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |