Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.