Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
44.67% ( 0.75) | 24.25% ( -0.1) | 31.08% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( 0.2) | 43.6% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% ( 0.2) | 65.99% ( -0.2) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( 0.41) | 19.68% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.32% ( 0.66) | 51.68% ( -0.66) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( -0.3) | 26.77% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( -0.41) | 62.05% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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