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Ayr United
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Partick Thistle

Ayr
0 - 5
Partick


McAlear (32'), McAllister (58')
Akinyemi (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McMillan (7'), Tiffoney (27', 54'), Lawless (63'), Holt (88')
Muirhead (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Partick 3-0 Ayr
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last Game: Partick 3-0 Ayr
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

We said: Ayr United 2-1 Partick Thistle (Partick to win 4-2 on aggregate)

 With a three-goal deficit to overturn, Ayr United have no choice but to go for broke on Friday, but the hosts will find it difficult to recover from their first-leg failures. Although we expect the Honest Men to win the second leg, Partick Thistle look destined to reach the final and get a shot at returning to the top flight for the first time since 2017-18. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
39.82% (-0.201 -0.2) 26.39% (0.058 0.06) 33.78% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (-0.207 -0.21)52.12% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (-0.178 -0.18)73.84% (0.184 0.18)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.202 -0.2)25.7% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)60.61% (0.281 0.28)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.23% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)65.18% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 39.82%
    Partick Thistle 33.78%
    Draw 26.39%
Ayr UnitedDrawPartick Thistle
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.82%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Ayr vs Partick

Ayr United
52.6%
Draw
18.4%
Partick Thistle
28.9%
38
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Partick
3-0
Ayr
McMillan (16'), Graham (50', 72')
McMillan (64')

Mullin (21'), Dempsey (63')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 33
Partick
1-1
Ayr
Tiffoney (14')
McMillan (60'), Holt (64')
Akinyemi (72')
Akinyemi (78')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Ayr
0-1
Partick

Dempsey (36')
Mullen (32')
Milne (90+5')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 18
Partick
3-2
Ayr
Milne (21'), Graham (45+1'), Lawless (56')
Akinyemi (9'), Chalmers (47')
Albinson (45+1')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Ayr
4-2
Partick
Chalmers (16'), Brownlie (39' og.), Mullin (55'), McKenzie (90+1')
Young (41')
Hodson (18'), Graham (51')
rhs 2.0
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