Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.