Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.