Despite their valiant efforts in the previous rounds, Darvel's Scottish Cup run looks set to end on Monday, with Falkirk expected to flex their muscles and advance to the quarter-finals following a tough battle at Recreation Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Darvel	Draw	Falkirk
34.48% ( 1.8)	23.12% ( 0.14)	42.39% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 64.31% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.02% (

-0.09)

36.98% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.84% (

-0.1)

59.16% (

0.09)

Darvel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

0.94)

21.63% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

1.41)

54.74% (

-1.41)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

-0.82)

17.94% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

-1.43)

48.77% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Darvel 34.48%

Falkirk 42.39%

Draw 23.12%

Darvel	Draw	Falkirk
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.6% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.87% Total : 42.39%