Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
Darvel1 - 5Falkirk
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alloa 1-1 Falkirk
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
We said: Darvel 1-2 Falkirk
Despite their valiant efforts in the previous rounds, Darvel's Scottish Cup run looks set to end on Monday, with Falkirk expected to flex their muscles and advance to the quarter-finals following a tough battle at Recreation Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darvel | Draw | Falkirk |
34.48% ( 1.8) | 23.12% ( 0.14) | 42.39% ( -1.94) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
