Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.