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Falkirk
Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 29, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Inverness CT

Falkirk
0 - 3
Inverness

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mckay (7' pen., 57'), MacKay (34')
Deas (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Falkirk and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Alloa 1-4 Falkirk
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Falkirk 1-2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

 A closely-fought semi-final contest is set to be played out between two teams who will be desperate to book their place in the final, but with Inverness boasting slightly better form heading into Saturday's clash, we believe that the second-tier side will edge out their third-tier counterparts to set up a showdown with either Celtic or Rangers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
45.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)46.95% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)69.2% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.43% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.27% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.022000000000006 0.02)65.23% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 45.3%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.84%
    Draw 24.86%
FalkirkDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.84%

How you voted: Falkirk vs Inverness

Falkirk
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
gameweek 31
Inverness
0-0
Falkirk

Trafford (61'), McKay (89')

Dixon (28')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 22
Falkirk
2-2
Inverness
Rudden (29'), McShane (56')
Keillor-Dunn (90')
Rooney (12'), Doran (45')
Tremarco (62'), Rooney (90')
Dec 1, 2018 3pm
gameweek 15
Inverness
2-3
Falkirk
Walsh (6'), Oakley (61')
McKay (52'), Polworth (91')
Rudden (16', 36'), Harrison (90')
Harrison (21'), Muirhead (91')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
gameweek 1
Falkirk
0-1
Inverness

Paton (82')
Oakley (10')
Rooney (40'), McKay (65'), Chalmers (84')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Inverness
1-0
Falkirk
Mulraney (81')
Oakley (50')

Longridge (60')
rhs 2.0
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