Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Falkirk in this match.