Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk
2 - 1
Ayr

Morrison (66' pen.), Kennedy (83')
Donaldson (80'), McCann (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akinyemi (12')
McKenzie (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Falkirk and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Morton 1-3 Ayr
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

We said: Falkirk 2-1 Ayr United

Despite the difference in divisions, this feels like a 50-50 tie when you consider the nerves and tensions which will be on show. Although Ayr arguably have the superior quality, we are backing Falkirk to use home advantage in their favour and secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Falkirk.

Result
Falkirk	Draw	Ayr United
62.99% ( 0.05)	21.04% ( -0.02)	15.98% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

0.02)

45.69% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

0.02)

68.01% (

-0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

0.02)

13.88% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.72% (

0.04)

41.28% (

-0.04)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.45% (

-0.03)

41.55% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

-0.03)

78.04% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Falkirk 62.98%

Ayr United 15.98%

Draw 21.04%

Falkirk	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.98%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.98%