Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 0Dundee
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee |
46.02% | 25.16% | 28.82% |
Both teams to score 54.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% | 48.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% | 70.85% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% | 21.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% | 54.09% |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.91% |