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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee

Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')

The Match

Match Report

Lee Ashcroft scored against his former club at Rugby Park as Dundee earned promotion.

Team News

Dundee have no fresh injuries ahead of the Rugby Park clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
36.29%25.51%38.2%
Both teams to score 55.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99%48.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82%70.18%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25%25.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32%60.68%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31%24.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77%59.23%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 36.29%
    Dundee 38.2%
    Draw 25.5%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.2%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Dundee
25.0%
56
Head to Head
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dundee
1-2
Kilmarnock
Nabi (10')
Kerr (52'), Boyle (90')
Boyle (17' og.), Brophy (54' pen.)
Stewart (90')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-2
Dundee
Brophy (5'), Boyd (74'), Wilson (87')
Dicker (31'), Wilson (66'), Taylor (66'), Tshibola (93')
Dicker (59')
Moussa (31' pen.), Caulker (56')
Kusunga (15'), O'Hara (20'), Kamara (75')
rhs 2.0
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