Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
29.77% ( -0.38) | 27.69% ( -0.11) | 42.53% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.76% ( 0.23) | 58.24% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.12% ( 0.18) | 78.88% ( -0.19) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% ( -0.16) | 35.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.08% ( -0.17) | 71.92% ( 0.16) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( 0.36) | 27.07% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.55% ( 0.48) | 62.45% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |