Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock
While St Mirren have seen a drop-off in performance lately, they have maintained a very good home record this season. The visitors, in contrast, have been good recently, but their away form has been far from impressive. This looks like a very even contest in the making, and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31% . A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%) . The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood .
Result St Mirren Draw Kilmarnock 44.31% ( 0.48) 27.27% ( -0.15) 28.42% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.25)
42.75% ( 0.41) 57.25% ( -0.41)
21.91% ( 0.33) 78.09% ( -0.33)
74.31% ( 0.43) 25.69% ( -0.43)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.39% ( 0.58) 60.61% ( -0.59)
64.31% ( -0.04) 35.69% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.54% ( -0.04) 72.46% ( 0.03)
St Mirren 44.3%
Kilmarnock 28.42%
Draw 27.26%
St Mirren Draw Kilmarnock 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.3% 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.26% 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 28.42%
How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock
21
rhs 2.0
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