MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:22:47| >> :60:2775:2775:
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
May 20, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')

The Match

Match Report

The Championship runners-up earned a 2-1 home victory on Thursday night

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
40.43%27.46%32.11%
Both teams to score 48.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31%56.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35%77.65%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01%62.99%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35%32.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8%69.2%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 40.43%
    Kilmarnock 32.1%
    Draw 27.46%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.1%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
32.1%
Draw
16.1%
Kilmarnock
51.8%
56
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dundee
1-2
Kilmarnock
Nabi (10')
Kerr (52'), Boyle (90')
Boyle (17' og.), Brophy (54' pen.)
Stewart (90')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-2
Dundee
Brophy (5'), Boyd (74'), Wilson (87')
Dicker (31'), Wilson (66'), Taylor (66'), Tshibola (93')
Dicker (59')
Moussa (31' pen.), Caulker (56')
Kusunga (15'), O'Hara (20'), Kamara (75')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Dundee
0-0
Kilmarnock
O'Dea (76')
O'Dea (85')
Jones (35'), Burke (40'), Taylor (66')
rhs 2.0
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