Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals

Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dundee Utd

Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
McKenzie (37'), Mayo (53'), Doidge (64'), Chrisene (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Middleton (10')
Smith (7'), Edwards (39'), Djoum (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee United

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee United
54.68% ( 0.35)	24.08% ( 0.05)	21.25% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

-0.66)

50.62% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

-0.59)

72.53% (

0.59)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

-0.12)

18.41% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

-0.2)

49.56% (

0.2)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.58% (

-0.78)

38.42% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.83% (

-0.75)

75.17% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 54.66%

Dundee United 21.25%

Draw 24.07%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.66%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.25%