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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
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Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Armstrong (11', 46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bair (90+1')
Gordon (34'), Mitchell (52'), McGowan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 St Johnstone

A troubling start to the campaign for both clubs, St Johnstone will be keen to maintain their strong record against Kilmarnock this weekend. St Johnstone enter the weekend above Killie, which is where they are likely to be following Saturday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
55.37% (-1.368 -1.37) 24.32% (0.213 0.21) 20.3% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.576 0.58)52.65% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.491 0.49)74.29% (-0.491 -0.49)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)18.91% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (-0.503 -0.5)50.4% (0.504 0.5)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (1.607 1.61)40.56% (-1.606 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (1.417 1.42)77.16% (-1.416 -1.42)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.36%
    St Johnstone 20.3%
    Draw 24.31%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 55.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone

Kilmarnock
36.1%
Draw
16.7%
St Johnstone
47.2%
36
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
St Johnstone
Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')
Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')
Nov 6, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
St Johnstone
Tshibola (61')
Power (55')
Millen (63')
Wotherspoon (85'), O'Halloran (90+4')
Rooney (33'), Craig (90+3')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
McCann (7'), Wotherspoon (83')
Wotherspoon (24'), Hendry (89')
Burke (22' pen.)
Del Fabro (79'), Findlay (89'), Kiltie (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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