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Ross County
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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
St Johnstone logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Armstrong (11', 46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bair (90+1')
Gordon (34'), Mitchell (52'), McGowan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 St Johnstone

A troubling start to the campaign for both clubs, St Johnstone will be keen to maintain their strong record against Kilmarnock this weekend. St Johnstone enter the weekend above Killie, which is where they are likely to be following Saturday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
55.37% (-1.368 -1.37) 24.32% (0.213 0.21) 20.3% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.576 0.58)52.65% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.491 0.49)74.29% (-0.491 -0.49)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)18.91% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (-0.503 -0.5)50.4% (0.504 0.5)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (1.607 1.61)40.56% (-1.606 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.84% (1.417 1.42)77.16% (-1.416 -1.42)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 55.36%
    St Johnstone 20.3%
    Draw 24.31%
KilmarnockDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 55.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.195 0.2)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone

Kilmarnock
36.1%
Draw
16.7%
St Johnstone
47.2%
36
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-3
St Johnstone
Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')
Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')
Nov 6, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 15, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
St Johnstone
Tshibola (61')
Power (55')
Millen (63')
Wotherspoon (85'), O'Halloran (90+4')
Rooney (33'), Craig (90+3')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Kilmarnock
McCann (7'), Wotherspoon (83')
Wotherspoon (24'), Hendry (89')
Burke (22' pen.)
Del Fabro (79'), Findlay (89'), Kiltie (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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