Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
30.46% ( -5.9) | 23.65% ( -1.05) | 45.89% ( 6.95) |
Both teams to score 60.6% ( 1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.9% ( 3.17) | 41.1% ( -3.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( 3.15) | 63.49% ( -3.15) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% ( -1.96) | 25.93% ( 1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -2.72) | 60.93% ( 2.71) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( 4.45) | 18.17% ( -4.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.83% ( 7.08) | 49.16% ( -7.09) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.9) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -1.39) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -1.24) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.7) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.71) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.69) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 1.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.93) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.67) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.56) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.39) Other @ 3.64% Total : 45.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |