Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
39.54% ( 0.29) | 24.94% ( -0.07) | 35.51% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.48% ( 0.31) | 45.52% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( 0.29) | 67.85% ( -0.29) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( 0.28) | 22.88% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( 0.41) | 56.62% ( -0.41) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.02) | 25.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.03) | 59.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |