Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montrose win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win is 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.39%).
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
48.95% ( -0.36) | 22.93% ( 0.19) | 28.12% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.85% ( -0.76) | 39.15% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.52% ( -0.8) | 61.48% ( 0.8) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% ( -0.41) | 16.26% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.2% ( -0.76) | 45.79% ( 0.76) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% ( -0.27) | 26.49% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% ( -0.36) | 61.68% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |