Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.