MX23RW : Friday, November 1 22:06:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Dumbarton
Scottish League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Stenhousemuir

Dumbarton
1 - 3
Stenhousemuir

Pignatiello (42')
Clark (52')
Clark (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Alston (11' pen.), Aitken (35', 80')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QotS 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
56.83% (0.561 0.56) 22.35% (-0.279 -0.28) 20.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 55.13% (0.507 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.877 0.88)43.82% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.852 0.85)66.21% (-0.849 -0.85)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (0.488 0.49)15.21% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (0.914 0.91)43.85% (-0.913 -0.91)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.224 0.22)34.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.235 0.23)71.72% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 56.82%
    Stenhousemuir 20.82%
    Draw 22.34%
DumbartonDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.93% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.82%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
0-0
Stenhousemuir
Durnan (36')
Buchanan (37'), Taylor (70')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stenhousemuir
1-0
Dumbarton
Taylor (65')
Rodden (29'), Brown (37'), Taylor (79')

Blair (62'), Crighton (64'), Gray (66'), Wallace (77'), Pignatiello (81')
Blair (75')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dumbarton
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Malcolm (34'), Wallace (59'), Lynas (60')
Berry (87')
Bilham (73')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stenhousemuir
2-4
Dumbarton
Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')
Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Lynas (45+4')
Reilly (71'), Orr (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Texans
13-21
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cove Rangers115241815317
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir115241513217
3Alloa AthleticAlloa114521110117
4Montrose11443118316
5Kelty Hearts114341812615
6Arbroath114341314-115
7Queen of the SouthQotS11425912-314
8Annan AthleticAnnan11416816-813
9Dumbarton112631718-112
10Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness11263810-2-3


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!