Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
56.83% ( 0.56) | 22.35% ( -0.28) | 20.82% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( 0.88) | 43.82% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.8% ( 0.85) | 66.21% ( -0.85) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( 0.49) | 15.21% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% ( 0.91) | 43.85% ( -0.91) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.02% ( 0.22) | 34.98% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% ( 0.23) | 71.72% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |