Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
55.74% ( 1.04) | 24.13% ( -0.41) | 20.13% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% ( 0.86) | 52.11% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% ( 0.74) | 73.83% ( -0.74) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.43% ( 0.73) | 18.56% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( 1.21) | 49.82% ( -1.21) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.56% ( -0.17) | 40.44% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( -0.16) | 77.05% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |