Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
30.4% ( 0.3) | 24.84% ( -0.18) | 44.76% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.43% ( 0.95) | 46.56% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.16% ( 0.89) | 68.83% ( -0.89) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( 0.68) | 28.69% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( 0.84) | 64.51% ( -0.85) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( 0.34) | 20.86% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.44% ( 0.53) | 53.55% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |