Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.