Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.