Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
44.46% ( 0.19) | 24.64% ( 0.03) | 30.9% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% ( -0.21) | 45.44% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.23% ( -0.2) | 67.77% ( 0.2) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0) | 20.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% ( -0) | 53.03% ( 0) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( -0.24) | 27.79% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( -0.31) | 63.38% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |