Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
44.46% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 30.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% (![]() | 45.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.23% (![]() | 67.77% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% (![]() | 20.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% (![]() | 53.03% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% (![]() | 27.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% (![]() | 63.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.41% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |