Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.79% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% (![]() | 39.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% (![]() | 61.78% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% (![]() | 15.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% (![]() | 44.14% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% (![]() | 64.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 3.51% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |