Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.